NFL Picks Week 14

NFL picks week 14 starts on Thursday when the Super Bowl defending Rams are, wait for it . . . a big-time +6 home dog versus the, another wait required . . .Vegas Raiders. 

Yep. The Sin City Marauders offer NFL Week 14 odds that make them the chalk over the defending champs. 

What has the world come to? No more time to waste. Check out NFL Week 14 odds, analysis, and this week’s picks!

NFL Week 14 Picks – Thursday, Dec. 8

Las Vegas Raiders -6 at Los Angeles Rams – 8:15 p.m. ET

The trend says the Las Vegas Raiders all the way. It’s difficult to argue against that trend because the Los Angeles Rams are a disaster, which makes the first of our picks for NFL week 14 a little easier.

How bad are the Los Angeles Rams? Bad enough to rank 25^th or worse in every significant offensive category.   

The Raiders are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three. Another reason to roll with Vegas? LV’s most significant issue is stopping the pass, and the Los Angeles Rams don’t have top-level quarterbacks. 

NFL Week 14 Picks – Sunday, Dec. 11

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers -3 – 1:00 p.m ET

The Baltimore Ravens could struggle because Lamar Jackson is out indefinitely, and the Pittsburgh Steelers are on a 2-game SU and ATS streak. 

Also, this game is a home contest for the Pittsburgh Steelers while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in the last four versus their AFC North counterparts.  

Tyler Huntley, the Baltimore backup QB, is one of the best second-string signal-callers, if not the best, in the NFL. Huntley will ensure the Ravens move the football and put up points. In addition, how much faith can we have in the Pittsburgh Steelers when their latest two conquests were against the Atlanta Falcons and the Indianapolis Colts?  

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals -6 – 1 p.m ET

Don’t look now, but the defending AFC Champion Cincinnati Bengals are surging. Joe Burrow, Mr. Cool himself, and his mates are dominating opponents.

The Bengals have gone 9-1 against the spread in their last ten. Sure, the lone non-cover came versus the Cleveland Browns. 

But we have zero faith in Deshaun Watson and his new team. The Cleveland Browns’ new quarterback looked terrible in a victory over the Houston Texans in their last.  

Deshaun was a complete mess. Watson may have peaked with his former team, the Texans, in which case the Bengals’ pass rush, not to mention Mr. Cool, will dominate. 

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills -9.5 – 1 p.m ET

For the Buffalo Bills, this is the classic bounce spot. The Bills got a lot of extra time after beating the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day. 

Then Josh Allen and his buddies got more extra time because they blasted the rival New England Patriots on Thursday in NFL Week 13. The spare time, and Buffalo’s dominance of the Patriots, explain why Buffalo is -9.5.

But the trends say the New York Jets get it done. The J-E-T-S is 5-0 ATS in their last five after a spread line loss. Should we consider taking the points? Yes, sir! Or mam. Or they. 

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans -3.5 – 1 p.m ET

Things aren’t copasetic in Nashville. The Philadelphia Eagles so thoroughly embarrassed the Tennessee Titans that the AFC South leaders dumped GM James Robinson.

It’s rare to fire a general manager during the season. But in this case, the move by the Titans’ ownership signals a considerable vote of confidence in coach Mike Vrabel.

So, in other words, the Titans are backing their head coach. Will that lead to a massive win and cover over the Jacksonville Jaguars? Uh, yeah! These are the Jacksonville Jaguars, a 1-5 ATS road squad. Titans roll. 

Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys -17 – 1 p.m ET

We’re only into trend betting some of the time. But when it comes to the Houston Texans versus the Dallas Cowboys, it makes sense to throw out stats, forget about injuries and, yes, turn a blind eye to the point spread and roll with the trends. 

We have to. No NFL team, not even the Houston Texans, should go off at +17. Yes, not even the 1-10-1 SU and 1-5 road ATS Houston Texans versus the 6-1 at home ATS Dallas Cowboys. 

Thinking about the point spread will kill any chance of following the trends. So we won’t worry, lay it, and hope the Boys score another 40 while giving up 14 or less. 

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions -2.5 – 1 p.m ET

The NFL betting lines opened at Minnesota Vikings +1.5. Within hours, NFL betting handicappers had begun to dump on the Lions. So much so that Detroit is now a -2.5 chalk.

The Minnesota Vikings have Super Bowl potential, and the Vikings are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last 7. But the spread loss came in a 3-40 loss on the road to the Dallas Cowboys.

Detroit is on fire ATS, covering in 5 straight, which explains why the Lions are the favorite versus a team of the Minnesota Vikings quality. Also, this is a Motor City home game, and Detroit usually rocks it on Ford Field. 

Kansas City Chiefs -9 at Denver Broncos – 4:05 p.m ET

The Kansas City Chiefs head to Colorado to take on the Denver Broncos a week after losing straight up to the Bengals as a road chalk.

The problem with backing Patrick Mahomes and his mates is that the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the most horrible teams in the NFL against the spread. The Chiefs are 3-8-1 ATS overall.

But Kansas City’s spread-covering problems stem from constantly facing massive spreads. However, the Denver Broncos are just 4-8 ATS. So we should expect a team like the Chiefs to dominate a horrible team like the Denver Broncos.

Also, a critical trend puts this in the Chiefs’ favor. KC is 6-0 ATS in their last six versus a team with a losing record in their stadium. In addition, the Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in the previous eight meetings in Denver.  

Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks -3.5 – 4:25 p.m ET

After a couple of subpar performances, the Seattle Seahawks are back on track. Emerald City wizard Geno Smith threw for the most yards he ever had in his career when the Seattle Seahawks beat the Rams 27-23.

But Seattle is 0-3 ATS in their last 3. The Carolina Panthers have gone 5-1 ATS in their previous 6. Carolina’s defense is playing great, and the offense has some clarity after the Panthers cut Baker Mayfield earlier in the week. The NC Cats get the nod for another of our picks for NFL week 14.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers -3.5 – 4:25 p.m. ET 

The San Francisco 49ers must play third-string rookie quarterback Brock Purdy. But before dumping on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it’s crucial to realize that SF coach Kyle Shanahan loves Purdy.

KS loves BP so much that he didn’t even consider pulling the trigger on Mayfield. Tom Brady rallied the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to a come from behind Monday night victory against the Saints.

This game happens at Levi’s Stadium, where the Niners rule. Brady and the Bucs are in some trouble.  

Miami Dolphins -3 at LA Chargers – 8:20 p.m. ET

Dolphins versus Chargers is a bad matchup for Miami. Yes, Tua and his mates are the road favorite, and, sure, the Miami Dolphins have covered in 3-of-4.

But the Fins allowed Brock Purdy, a rookie, to slice and dice them for 210 yards and throw 2 TDs in a loss to San Francisco. Justin Herbert should dominate the Dolphins’ defense.

Also, we shouldn’t read too much into the Bolts losing to the Raiders in their last. The Los Angeles Chargers don’t handle great rushing teams well, and Josh Jacobs, Vegas’ top running back, has dominated in recent weeks. In the penultimate of our week 14 NFL picks, the Bolts should take this straight up. 

NFL Week 14 Picks – Monday, Dec. 12

New England Patriots -1.5 at Arizona Cardinals – 8:15 p.m. ET

Pats versus Cards is a toss-up. The Arizona Cardinals have an edge at quarterback with Kyler Murray. But the Cards don’t have much of an advantage.

The trends give a slight edge to the New England Patriots. The Pats are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss on their field by double-digits. 

The Arizona Cardinals are 2-10 versus the spread in their last 12 on a Monday. We got to believe Bill Belichick finds a way for New England to break their 2-game losing streak, mainly because this happens against a mess of a franchise like the Arizona Cardinals.