NFL Picks Week 13: Chiefs Look to Get Back On Track Versus Packers on NFL Sunday Night Football

The Kansas City Chiefs have lost two of their last four games. KC fell to Denver 24-9 and then dropped a game against the Eagles at home 21-17 in their last. On Sunday night, the Chiefs hope to get back on track in a game at Lambeau Field versus the Green Bay Packers. Will Patrick Mahomes and his mates get it done? Or will the Packers add to Kansas City’s woes? Check out NFL odds, analysis, and free NFL picks for every game on the NFL Week 13 schedule.

Week 13 NFL Picks

NFL Thursday –  November 30

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys -8.5

Dallas is one of the better teams in the NFL while the Seahawks have fallen apart. Baltimore beat Seattle 37-3 and then in their last on Thanksgiving night, the rival 49ers dusted the Seahawks 31-13.

Big D is on a 3-game losing streak. The last loss came against Philadelphia, which is a much better team than the Seahawks. Dallas covers.

NFL Week 13 Pick:Dallas Cowboys -8.5
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NFL Week 13 Games

Sunday, December 3

Atlanta Falcons -3 at New York Jets

Atlanta played a great game last Sunday as a -1.5 home underdog to beat the New Orleans Saints and go to first place in the NFC South.

But the ATL faces a different team than the Saints on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers will be at the Jets practice this week. AR is cleared to resume practicing. His presence will motivate the Jets to a straight up victory.

NFL Week 13 Pick: New York Jets +3

Miami Dolphins -9.5 at Washington Commanders

Getting rid of your defensive coordinator won’t help. That’s our advice to Ron Rivera, the Commanders head coach who ditched Jack Del Rio earlier in the week.

Miami should pass and rush with effectiveness versus a D.C. defense that was bad when it had Josh Sweat and Chase Young playing at the end positions. When the Commanders have the ball, Miami will relish the chance to, like every other team Washington has faced this season, put Sam Howell on his back.

The Dolphins roll to an easy win and cover.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Miami Dolphins -9.5
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Detroit Lions -4.5 at New Orleans Saints

Both teams head into this game after suffering an upset loss. Detroit was a big -7.5 NFL Thanksgiving Day favorite over the NFC North rival Green Bay Packers.

The Packers beat the Lions straight up. Saints QB Derek Carr threw a pick 6 that set the tone for New Orleans’s loss to the Falcons.

Which team gets the nod ATS in this matchup? Detroit offers overlay odds at -4.5. If the Lions win, they will win by no more than 3. Saints cover.  

NFL Week 13 Pick: New Orleans Saints +4.5

L.A. Chargers -6 at New England Patriots

Two teams moving in the same direction, down the rabbit hole of defeat, throw down on Sunday. The Patriots host the Chargers without knowing on Wednesday whether Mac Jones will provide awful football or if it will be Bailey Zappe providing the lackluster play.

Zappe could be effective against a Chargers team that has blown defensive assignments in almost every game. So if the Patriots give Zappe the ball, they still shouldn’t win, but they will have a chance to cover the spread.

NFL Week 13 Pick: New England Patriots +6
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Arizona Cardinals at Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5

Mike Tomlin’s move to replace offensive coordinator Matt Canada with Mike Sullivan has already paid dividends. Versus one of the best defenses in the NFL in Cleveland’s Kenny Pickett, and the Steelers offense scored 16 points in a victory.

Arizona is better with Kyler Murray at QB but they’re not good enough to keep this closer than 7 points. Backing the Steelers is the play.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans -3.5

C.J. Stroud almost rallied the Texans to a regulation tie. Houston kicker Matt Ammendola, who is filling in for regular kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn, missed a 58 yarder.

Things don’t get easier for Stroud and his mates. Russell Wilson and the Broncos are on a 5-game winning streak where the defense has allowed 20 or more points just twice and no more than 22. Broncos keep the good times going with another straight up victory as the ATS dog.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Denver Broncos +3.5
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Indianapolis Colts -1.5 at Tennessee Titans

The Colts are on a 3-game winning streak, which is the reason, of course, to back the Titans. The Colts beat the Panthers, Patriots, and Buccaneers during the streak.

It’s difficult seeing Indy winning a fourth straight. Especially, because the Colts must beat Derrick Henry and his mates in Nissan Stadium and because Indianapolis RB Jonathan Taylor is out with an injury.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Tennessee Titans +1.5

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5

The Panthers let go of head coach Frank Reich on Monday. Often, a coaching change can light a fire under a team. But in this case, don’t expect a blaze.

Carolina has a much worse roster than Tampa Bay. The Panthers can’t protect first pick in the NFL Draft Bryce Young. So we’ll repeat our advice even though we know Carolina will do the opposite.

If the Panthers really want Young to be their franchise quarterback, their best play is to bench him for the remainder of the season. Young’s confidence is shot. It won’t come back after the Tampa defense sacks him 6 times.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5
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Cleveland Browns at L.A. Rams -3.5

The Rams should be the favorite in this. The game takes place at SoFi Stadium and LAR’s offense is at full strength.

Cleveland, though, sends one of the fiercest pass rushes against wooden legged Matthew Stafford. Staff could end playing most of this one on his back. Also, former Super Bowl winning quarterback Joe Flacco may start, which would be an upgrade over DTR and P.J. Walker. Browns cover.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Cleveland Browns

San Francisco 49ers -2.5 at Philadelphia Eagles

We’re not the only NFL handicappers who were surprised that oddsmakers made the Niners a -2.5 favorite over the 1-loss Philadelphia Eagles.

Not only does Jalen Hurts and his buds have a single defeat on their record, but Philly takes on their NFC rivals at home. So why are the 49ers the chalk?

San Francisco is back to playing like the best team in the National Football League. SF destroyed the Jacksonville Jaguars in a big road win a few games ago. Last week on Thanksgiving Night, the 49ers beat up the rival Seahawks 31-13 in another road win.

Nick Bosa is one of the few players fast enough to contain Hurts. In addition, San Francisco’s rushing attack will get past the Eagles’ defensive line. Niners cover.

NFL Week 13 Pick: San Francisco 49ers -2.5
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Kansas City Chiefs -6 at Green Bay Packers

Beating the Packers at Lambeau is never easy. Beating the Packers at Lambeau when Green Bay is on a hot streak seems impossible.

For sure, the KC Chiefs can do it. But 6 points are just too many to lay. Jordan Love has developed into a legit starter in the league. He’s looked great in two straight games. Green Bay covers for sure and should have a chance to win this straight up.

NFL Monday Night Football –  December 4

Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5

Jacksonville versus Cincinnati should have been one of the AFC’s most important matchups. But Bengals quarter Joe Burrow is out for the season, which is why the Jags are +8.5 underdogs.

Burrow means more to Cincinnati than the average starting quarterback. Joe Cool is the unquestioned leader of the franchise. So when he went down, it also affected the Cincy defense.

Trevor “He-Man” Lawrence has begun to live up to his college billing. The man can ball, which is why the Jaguars, whose only misstep in their last eight games was versus the 49ers, get the win and cover.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -8.5